![]() And given Biden’s ability so far to outraise Trump in terms of campaign donations, his campaign has more resources to invest robustly in this key part of the campaign.īut there is something else in Biden’s favor. Biden - who was Obama’s vice president - is obviously well aware of this. But what is instructive is that Obama won in large part by way of a superior ground game in terms of ensuring that voters who supported him actually did cast a ballot. We all get that Obama and Biden are not the same candidates. Opinion: A good week for Biden, a bad week for the world ![]() REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/Pool Jonathan Ernst/Pool/Reuters President Joe Biden delivers a prime-time address to the nation about his approaches to the conflict between Israel and Hamas, humanitarian assistance in Gaza and continued support for Ukraine in their war with Russia, from the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, U.S. And he did so by winning many of the key battleground states that are the focus of The New York Times/Siena College surveys. What happened? Obama won in 2012 by nearly 5 million votes and dominated the Electoral College 332 to 206 votes. There was even a Wall Street Journal op-ed by two well-known Democratic pollsters calling on Obama to step aside to allow Hillary Clinton to become the 2012 Democratic nominee because they believed she was better suited to win. While Obama led in some surveys at the time, a CNN/ORC poll in November 2011 found Romney with a 4-point edge.Īrticles at the time suggested possible doom for Obama, including The New York Times analysis “ Is Obama Toast?,” PBS’ “ Poll Finds Young People Skeptical of Obama’s Re-election Prospects” and the left-leaning Brookings Institution’s “One Year to Go: President Barack Obama’s Uphill Battle for Reelection in 2012.” First, President Barack Obama faced high disapproval ratings the year before the 2012 election (although not as high as Biden’s). And a number of early national polls suggested a close race between Obama and Mitt Romney, who would go on to be the GOP’s presidential nominee. You might be asking then: Why not panic? There are a few reasons. ![]() Trump leads Biden in 4 key swing states, new polling findsĪnd on the economy - an issue that is often the key metric in determining a president’s reelection prospects - the polling finds “the largest gap of any issue,” with 59% of voters to 37% saying they trust Trump over Biden to handle economic matters. Former President Donald Trump, left, and President Joe Biden.
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